Los factores institucionales como determinantes de los flujos comerciales internacionales

  1. Jiménez Jiménez, Juan Carlos
  2. Narbona Moreno, Aránzazu
Journal:
Revista de economía mundial

ISSN: 1576-0162

Year of publication: 2010

Issue: 24

Pages: 23-48

Type: Article

More publications in: Revista de economía mundial

Abstract

Trade theory seeks to identify and to measure the determinants of the international trade flows. During the last decades, variables traditionally not included in trade modeling, such as geographical location, transport costs or institutional and cultural issues have became remarkably important rising the necessity to be included in this economic analysis. Institutional distance between a pair of countries appears then as a fundamental variable to be considered in explaining international trade flows. This paper implements a gravity model to analyze bilateral trade patterns empirically in relation with the institutional aspects. It allows us specifically to investigate the influence of institutions on the commercial patterns for 51 from 1996 to 2004. We use indicators on political stability, regulatory quality, and other proxies that reflect de quality of governance for both partners as well as their institutional distance. Those indicators are successively incorporated in the gravity equations. The paper ought to test that institutions and �good governance� matter for international trade. We find that a better quality of institutions, in particular the importer�s institutional quality, promotes remarkably bilateral flows.

Bibliographic References

  • Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. y Robinson, J. A. (2001): "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation", The American Economic Review, 91(5), 1369-1401.
  • Ades, A. y Di Tella, R. (1999): "Rents, Competition, and Corruption", The American Economic Review, 89(4), 982-993.
  • Aitken, N. D. (1973): "The Effect of the EEC and the EFTA on European Trade: A Temporal Cross-section Analysis", The American Economic Review, 63(5), 881-892.
  • Aixalá Pastó, J., Fabro Esteban, G. y Simón Fernández, B. (2004): "Calidad institucional y factores político-culturales: un panorama internacional por niveles de renta", Documento de Trabajo 2004-02, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Universidad de Zaragoza.
  • Anderson, J. E. y Van Wincoop, E. (2001): "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle", NBER Working Paper, 8079, National Bureau of Economic Research (enero).
  • Anderson, J. E. y Van Wincoop, E. (2004): "Trade Costs", Journal of Economic Literature, 42, 691-751.
  • Aron, J. (2000): "Growth and Institutions: A Review of the Evidence", The World Bank Research Observer, 15(1), 99-135.
  • Bénassy-Quéré, A., Coupet, M. y Mayer, T. (2005): "Institutional Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment", CEPII Working Paper, 2005-05, abril.
  • Berthelier, P.; Desdoigts, A. y Ould Aoudia, J. (2003): Profils Institutionnels, Document de travail, Ministére de l'Economie des Finances et de l'Industrie (julio).
  • Boisso, D. y Ferrantino, M. (1997): "Economic Distance, Cultural Distance, and Openness in International Trade: Empirical Puzzles", Journal of Economic Integration, 12(4), 456-484.
  • Dhar, S. y Panagariya, A. (1999): "Is East Asia less Open than North America and the EEC? No". En Piggott, J. y Woodland, A. (edc.): International Trade Policy and the Pacific Rim, Macmillan, Londres.
  • De Groot, H. L. F, Linders, G. J., Rietveld, P. y Subramanian, U. (2003): "The Institutional Determinants of Bilateral Trade Patterns", Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2003-044/3, Tinbergen Institute, Ámsterdam.
  • De Groot, H. L. F, Linders, G. J., Rietveld, P. y Subramanian, U. (2004): "The Institutional Determinants of Bilateral Trade Patterns", Kyklos, 57(1), 103-124.
  • Dollar, D. y Kraay, A. (2003): "Institutions, Trade, and Growth: Revisiting the Evidence", Policy Research Working Paper 3004, The World Bank, marzo.
  • Easterly, W. y Levine, R. (2002): "Tropics, Germs, and Crops: How Endowments Influence Economic Development", NBER Working Paper 9106, National Bureau of Economic Research (agosto).
  • Egger, P. (2000): "A Note on the Proper Econometric Specification of the Gravity Equation", Economic Letters, 66, 25-31.
  • Endoh, M. (1999): "Trade Creation and Trade Diversion in the EEC, the LAFTA and the CMEA: 1960-1994", Applied Economics, 31(2), 207-216 (febrero).
  • Frankel, J. A. (1997): Regional Trading Blocs in the World Economic System, Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C.
  • Frankel, J. A. y Romer, D. (1999): "Does Trade Cause Growth?", The American Economic Review, 89(3), 379-399.
  • Frankel, J. A. y Rose, A. (2002): "An Estimate of the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade and Income", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(2), 437-466.
  • Frankel, J.A.; Stein, E. y Wei, S.J. (1995): "Trading Blocs and the Americas: The Natural, the Unnatural and the Super-natural", Journal of Development Economics, 47, 61-95.
  • Garnaut, R. (1994): "Open Regionalism: Its Analytic Basis and Relevance to the International System", Journal of Asian Economics, 5(2), 273-290.
  • Gaulier, G., Mayer, T. y Zignago, S. (2004): "Notes on CEPII's Distances Measures", mimeo. Disponible online en http://www.cepii.fr/francgraph/bdd/distances.pdf
  • Geraci, V. J. y Prewo, W. (1977): "Bilateral Trade Flows and Transport Costs", Review of Economics and Statistics, 59, 67-74.
  • Greene, W. H. (2003): Econometric Analysis, Prentice Hall, 5.a edición.
  • Hamilton, C.B. y Winters, L.A. (1992): "Opening up International Trade with Eastern Europe", Economic Policy 14, 77-116 (abril).
  • Head, K. y Mayer, T. (2000): "Non-Europe: The Magnitude and Causes of Market Fragmentation in the EU", Weltwirschaftliches Archiv, 136(2), 480-485.
  • Head, K. y Mayer, T. (2002): "Illusory Border Effects: Distance Mismeasurement Inflate Estimates of Home Bias in Trade", CEPII Working Paper, 2002-01, enero.
  • Helliwell, J. (1996): "Do National Borders Matter for Quebec ́s Trade?", Canadian Journal of Economics, 29(3), 507-522.
  • Helliwell, J. (1997): "National Borders, Trade and Migration", Pacific Economic Review, 3(3), 165-185.
  • Helliwell, J. y Mccallum, J. (1995): "National Borders Still Matter for Trade", Policy Options, 16, 44-48.
  • Hofstede, G. (2001): Culture's Consequences: Comparing Values, Behaviours, Institutions, and Organizations across Nations, Thousand Oaks, Sage Publications.
  • Islam, R. y Montenegro C. E. (2002):"What Determines the Quality of Institutions?", Background Paper for the World Development Report 2002, Building Ínstitutions for Market (enero)
  • Jansen, M. y Nordås, H. K. (2004): "Institutions, Infrastructure, Trade Policy and Trade Flows", Discussion Paper 4418, Centre for Economy Policy Research, Londres.
  • Karemera, D., Ouguledo, V.I. y Davis, B. (2000): "A Gravity Model Analysis of International Migration to North America", Applied Economics, 32(13), 1745-1755.
  • Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A. y Mastruzzi, M. (2006): "Governance Matters V: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators for 1996-2005", Policy Research Working Paper 2272, The World Bank.
  • Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A. y Zoido-Lobaton, P. (1999): "Governance Matters", World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2196.
  • Kogut, B. y Singh, H. (1988): "The Effect of National Culture on the Choice of Entry Mode", Journal of International Business Studies, 8, 23-32.
  • Krueger, A. O. (1999): "Trade Creation and Trade Diversion under NAFTA", NBER Working Paper 7429 (diciembre).
  • La Porta, R., Lopez-De-Silanes, F., Shleifer, A. y Vishny, R. (1999): "The Quality of Government", The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organizations, 15(1), 222-279.
  • Levchenko, A. A. (2004): "Institutional Quality and International Trade", IMF Working Paper 04/231 (diciembre).
  • Linder, S. B. (1961): An Essay on Trade and Transformation, John Wiley and Sons, Nueva York.
  • Linders, G. J., De Groot, H. L. F. y Rietveld, P. (2005a): "Institutional Determinants of Bilateral Trade Flows", Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper, TI 2005-023/3.
  • Linders, G. J., Slangen, A., De Groot, H. L. F. y Beugelsdijk, S. (2005b): "Cultural and Institutional Determinants of Bilateral Trade Flows", Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper, TI 2005-074/3.
  • Linneman, H. (1966): An Econometric Study of International Trade Flows, North Holland, Ámsterdam.
  • Márquez Arboleda, L., Rochina Barrachina, M. E. y Antuñano Mauri, I. (2004): "Un modelo de gravedad ampliado para la inmigración internacional en España", Revista Valenciana de Economía y Hacienda, 12, 3/2004.
  • Mátyás, L. (1997): "Proper Econometric Specification of the Gravity Model", The World Economy, 20(3), 363-368.
  • Mauro, P. (1995): "Corruption and Growth", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(3), 681-712.
  • Mayer, T. y Zignago, S. (2004): "Market Access in Global and Regional Trade", CEPII Working Paper, 2004-14, octubre.
  • McCallum, J. (1995): "National Borders Matter: Canada-US Regional Trade Patterns", The American Economic Review, 85 (3), 615-623.
  • Narbona, A. (2005): "Determinantes de los flujos comerciales. Evidencias gravitacionales para el caso del Mercosur", VII Reunión de Economía Mundial, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, 22-24 de abril.
  • Nilsson, L. (2000): "Trade Integration and the EU Economic Membership Criteria", European Journal of Political Economy, 16, 807-827.
  • Nilsson, L. (2002): "Trading Relations: Is the Roadmap from Lomé to Cotonou Correct?", Applied Economics, 34(4) (marzo), 439-452.
  • Noguer, M. y Siscart, M. (2003): "Language as a Barrier to International Trade? An Empirical Investigation", Second Job-Market Paper.
  • North, D. C. (1990): Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance, Cambridge University Press.
  • North, D. C. (1994): "Institutional Change: A Framework of Analysis", Economic History, 94/12001.
  • Organización Mundial de Comercio (2005): Informe sobre el comercio mundial 2004. Análisis del vínculo entre el entorno normativo nacional y el comercio internacional, Ginebra.
  • Piani, G. y Kume, H. (2000): "Fluxos bilaterais de comércio e blocos regionais: uma aplicaçao do modelo gravitacional", Instituto de Pesquisa Economia Aplicada, IPEA (Brasil), Texto para discusión 749.
  • Rodrik D., Subramainan, A. y Trebbi, F. (2002): "Institutions Rule: Primacy of Institutions over Geography and Integration in Economic Development", CEPR Working Paper 3643 (noviembre).
  • Rodrik, D. (2003): "Institutions, Integration and Geography: In Search of the Deep Determinants of Economic Growth", en D. Rodrik (ed): In Search of Prosperity: Analytic Country Studies on Growth, Princeton University Press.
  • Sala-i-Martin, X. (1997): "I Just Ran Four Million Regressions", Columbia University y Universitat Pompeu Fabra, mímeo.
  • Wei, S. (2000): "Natural Openness and Good Government", National Bureau of Economic Reasearch Working Paper 7765.
  • White, A. (1980): "A Heteroscedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroscedasticity", Econometrica, 48, 817-838.