¿pueden las interfaces de usos del suelo explicar la ocurrencia de incendios forestales a escala provincial?

  1. Garrido Redondo, Jesús 1
  2. Vilar, Lara
  3. Echevarría, Pilar
  4. Martínez-Vega, Javier
  5. Martín, M. Pilar
  1. 1 Centro de Ciencias Humanas y Sociales (CCHS, CSIC)
Revista:
Geofocus: Revista Internacional de Ciencia y Tecnología de la Información Geográfica

ISSN: 1578-5157

Año de publicación: 2018

Número: 22

Tipo: Artículo

DOI: 10.21138/GF.611 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openDialnet editor

Otras publicaciones en: Geofocus: Revista Internacional de Ciencia y Tecnología de la Información Geográfica

Resumen

Los usos del suelo y su relación con factores socio-económicos son un aspecto clave en la gestión de incendios forestales. Este estudio analiza la ocurrencia de incendios forestales en el período 2005-2010 utilizando como variables explicativas las zonas de contacto entre usos del suelo (interfaces agrícola-forestal (IAF), urbano-forestal (IUF) y pasto-forestal (IPF)) por su relación con la ocurrencia de incendios en España, calculadas a partir de mapas de usos del suelo de Climate Change Initiative-Land Cover. Se utilizó Maxent para generar dos modelos predictivos (general y específico) en Zamora y Madrid. En el modelo general, la IAF contribuyó más en Zamora y la IUF en Madrid. El modelo específico mejoró los ajustes generales en ambas provincias, los porcentajes de acierto en Zamora y la discriminación espacial del riesgo, optimizando las potenciales actuaciones dirigidas a la prevención.

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