Análisis de sensibilidad MORRIS y SOBOL de un modelo dinámico aplicado al tráfico aéreo
- Francisco Antonio Buendía Hernández
- M. J. Ortiz Bevia
- F.J. Álvarez García
- Antonio Guerrero Ortega (ed. lit.)
- Germán Ros Magán (ed. lit.)
- Paloma Ruíz Benito (ed. lit.)
- Francisco Pascual Vives (ed. lit.)
- Cristina Tejedor Martínez (ed. lit.)
- Vanessa Tabernero Magro (ed. lit.)
Verlag: Editorial Universidad de Alcalá ; Universidad de Alcalá
ISBN: 978-84-18254-50-5
Datum der Publikation: 2021
Seiten: 165-178
Kongress: Jornadas de Jóvenes Investigadores de la Universidad de Alcalá (8. 2021. Alcalá de Henares)
Art: Konferenz-Beitrag
Zusammenfassung
The sensitivity of a linear model of ordinary differential equations that relates the variation of air transport passengers and the CO2 emissions generated with respect to the changes in its parameters is studied using nonlocal methods. The model incorporates the feedback effect of technological innovation on emissions and the socioeconomic response to climate impact on the number of passengers. The parameters are estimated using air traffic data. It is found that in the short term. the cancellation parameter is of greater influence while the technological improvement parameter dominates in the medium-long term.